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← Explore · Market 3685354

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

68.5% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 69.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 69.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability69.0%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+43.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$616
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,679 / $3,826
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.08
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d4.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth