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← Explore · Market 3685363

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?

5.9% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 10.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.1%, down 1.8pt over 24h, on a 9.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%
Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 10.4¢ / 5.9¢
Spread9.1¢ (155.6%)
Change 24h-1.80pt
Change 7d-38.65pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$245
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $2
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score4.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.84
RSI (14, hourly)54.3
Realized vol 7d3.61pt
Change 1h-0.85pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 19d 22h.

Time to resolve19d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth