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← Explore · Market 3685368

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?

5.9% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 8.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.9%, down 2.1pt over 24h, on a 4.9¢ spread.

Implied probability6.9%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 8.3¢ / 5.9¢
Spread4.9¢ (83.8%)
Change 24h-2.10pt
Change 7d-35.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$258
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $18
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61
RSI (14, hourly)39.1
Realized vol 7d3.19pt
Change 1h+2.40pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 33d 22h.

Time to resolve33d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth