← Explore · Market 3685376
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?
5.0% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, down 9.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 5.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (120.0%)
Change 24h-9.50pt
Change 7d-35.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$200
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $5
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.89
RSI (14, hourly)21.4
Realized vol 7d3.85pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 54d 22h.
Time to resolve54d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%