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← Explore · Market 3700192

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?

100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 90/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$16,446
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$81,656 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score90.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.63
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth