← Explore · Market 3700194
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
92.5% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 93.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 93.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 92.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$200,223
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$121,774 / $270,691
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)13
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.05
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d1.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 23h.
Time to resolve6d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%