← Explore · Market 3700195
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
81.5% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 82.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 82.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability82.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 81.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$74,353
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$35,708 / $163,450
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.09
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.98pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 23h.
Time to resolve21d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%