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← Explore · Market 3701206

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,423
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $35
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.89
RSI (14, hourly)22.2
Realized vol 7d3.52pt
Change 1h-0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 14h.

Time to resolve0d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth