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← Explore · Market 3701208

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25?

0.5% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.0%, down 5.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.2¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h-5.05pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,367
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $25
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.28
RSI (14, hourly)32.9
Realized vol 7d3.76pt
Change 1h-0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 14h.

Time to resolve0d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth