← Explore · Market 3701690
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
7.0% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,703
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,172 / $534
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.33
RSI (14, hourly)16.7
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 37d 2h.
Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%