← Explore · Market 3702025
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$62,217
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,581 / $4,652
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score55.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 9 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.12
RSI (14, hourly)9.1
Realized vol 7d0.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 14d 0h.
Time to resolve14d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%