← Explore · Market 3702042
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 93/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 41% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$63,367
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$94,942 / $1,318
Imbalance41% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score93.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.58
RSI (14, hourly)11.1
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 0h.
Time to resolve21d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%