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← Explore · Market 3724003

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on August 26?

4.8% implied · bid 4.2¢ · ask 5.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.4%, down 14.2pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability10.4%
Bid / ask / mid4.2¢ / 5.4¢ / 4.8¢
Spread1.2¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h-14.20pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,068
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$84 / $13
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 30 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)30.3
Realized vol 7d2.45pt
Change 1h-2.65pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 14h.

Time to resolve1d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth