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← Explore · Market 3724006

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 26?

18.9% implied · bid 16.5¢ · ask 21.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 25.5%, down 7.5pt over 24h, on a 4.9¢ spread.

Implied probability25.5%
Bid / ask / mid16.5¢ / 21.4¢ / 18.9¢
Spread4.9¢ (25.9%)
Change 24h-7.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$300
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$176 / $54
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.80
RSI (14, hourly)38.6
Realized vol 7d1.99pt
Change 1h-6.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 14h.

Time to resolve1d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth