← Explore · Market 3724006
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 26?
18.9% implied · bid 16.5¢ · ask 21.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.5%, down 7.5pt over 24h, on a 4.9¢ spread.
Implied probability25.5%
Bid / ask / mid16.5¢ / 21.4¢ / 18.9¢
Spread4.9¢ (25.9%)
Change 24h-7.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$300
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$176 / $54
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.80
RSI (14, hourly)38.6
Realized vol 7d1.99pt
Change 1h-6.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 14h.
Time to resolve1d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%