← Explore · Market 3724008
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on August 26?
75.6% implied · bid 73.7¢ · ask 77.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 66.2%, up 30.5pt over 24h, on a 3.8¢ spread.
Implied probability66.2%
Bid / ask / mid73.7¢ / 77.5¢ / 75.6¢
Spread3.8¢ (5.0%)
Change 24h+30.55pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$247
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$458 / $1,613
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score32.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.64
RSI (14, hourly)60.9
Realized vol 7d5.32pt
Change 1h+7.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 14h.
Time to resolve1d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%