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← Explore · Market 3746421

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 27?

99.5% implied · bid 99.1¢ · ask 99.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.8%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability99.8%
Bid / ask / mid99.1¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.5¢
Spread0.8¢ (0.8%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$113
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,968 / $15
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.31
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d4.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 14h.

Time to resolve2d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth