← Explore · Market 3748358

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?

70.5% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 71.0¢

The market prices this at 69.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability69.0%

Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 71.0¢ / 70.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)

Change 24h+2.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,064

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$926 / $1,729

Imbalance21% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score46.3 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.64

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d1.96pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%