← Explore · Market 3748411
Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?
20.5% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 22.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, down 13.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 20.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (14.6%)
Change 24h-13.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,883
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$349 / $177
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.79
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d4.33pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 22h.
Time to resolve12d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%