← Explore · Market 3748412

Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?

43.5% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 45.0¢

The market prices this at 32.0%, up 14.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.0%

Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 43.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (6.9%)

Change 24h+14.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$193 / $195

Imbalance35% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.2 / 100

RSI 65 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.05

RSI (14, hourly)64.8

Realized vol 7d2.32pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%