← Explore · Market 3748414
Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?
13.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (30.8%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,048
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$336 / $238
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.28
RSI (14, hourly)49.3
Realized vol 7d5.28pt
Change 1h-7.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 22h.
Time to resolve12d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%