← Explore · Market 3748551

Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?

3.4% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 5.8¢

The market prices this at 10.0%, down 19.6pt over 24h, on a 4.8¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 5.8¢ / 3.4¢

Spread4.8¢ (141.2%)

Change 24h-19.60pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$268

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $13

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score26.0 / 100

RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.05

RSI (14, hourly)30.0

Realized vol 7d4.16pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%