← Explore · Market 3748552

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

49.5% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

The market prices this at 49.0%, up 11.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%

Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 49.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)

Change 24h+11.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,872

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$121 / $1,019

Imbalance19% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.6 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.17

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d3.27pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%