← Explore · Market 3748554

Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?

7.6% implied · bid 5.2¢ · ask 10.1¢

The market prices this at 5.6%, down 14.1pt over 24h, on a 4.9¢ spread.

Implied probability5.6%

Bid / ask / mid5.2¢ / 10.1¢ / 7.6¢

Spread4.9¢ (64.1%)

Change 24h-14.10pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$216

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$152 / $8

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.6 / 100

RSI 79 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.54

RSI (14, hourly)78.8

Realized vol 7d4.74pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%