← Explore · Market 3748555
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?
16.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 17.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h-6.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,414
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$382 / $296
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.75
RSI (14, hourly)52.9
Realized vol 7d2.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 22h.
Time to resolve12d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%