← Explore · Market 3748556

Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

63.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 65.0¢

The market prices this at 57.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability57.0%

Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 65.0¢ / 63.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h+9.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$412

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$126 / $289

Imbalance44% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.2 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.15

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d2.06pt

Change 1h+1.00pt

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%