← Explore · Market 3748557
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
19.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 22.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 19.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (25.6%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$135 / $28
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.69
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.91pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 22h.
Time to resolve12d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%