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← Explore · Market 3748558

Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?

4.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.0%, down 14.1pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 4.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (150.0%)
Change 24h-14.15pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $17
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.72
RSI (14, hourly)45.7
Realized vol 7d4.59pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 12d 22h.

Time to resolve12d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth