← Explore · Market 3748590

Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?

33.0% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 34.0¢

The market prices this at 32.0%, down 11.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.0%

Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 33.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (6.1%)

Change 24h-11.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,332

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$625 / $1,537

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score41.1 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.41

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d3.16pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%