← Explore · Market 3748591
Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?
47.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, up 13.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (14.7%)
Change 24h+13.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$119
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$97 / $554
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.49
RSI (14, hourly)64.7
Realized vol 7d2.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 22h.
Time to resolve26d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%