← Explore · Market 3748592
Will CDU win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?
13.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$20
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$565 / $3
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.73
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.18pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 22h.
Time to resolve26d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%