← Explore · Market 3748593

Will CDU win at least 14% of all valid second votes?

7.8% implied · bid 1.4¢ · ask 14.1¢

The market prices this at 7.9%, up 1.9pt over 24h, on a 12.7¢ spread.

Implied probability7.9%

Bid / ask / mid1.4¢ / 14.1¢ / 7.8¢

Spread12.7¢ (163.9%)

Change 24h+1.90pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.15

RSI (14, hourly)58.4

Realized vol 7d2.40pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%