← Explore · Market 3748594

Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?

5.5% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 8.9¢

The market prices this at 2.8%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 6.7¢ spread.

Implied probability2.8%

Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 8.9¢ / 5.5¢

Spread6.7¢ (120.7%)

Change 24h+5.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 17/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$302

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45 / $9

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score16.5 / 100

RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46

RSI (14, hourly)22.3

Realized vol 7d3.11pt

Change 1h-1.10pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%