← Explore · Market 3748595

Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?

32.5% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 33.0¢

The market prices this at 33.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%

Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.1%)

Change 24h+9.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$334

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$630 / $26

Imbalance48% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.31

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d3.99pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%