← Explore · Market 3748596

Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?

43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

The market prices this at 44.0%, down 8.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability44.0%

Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)

Change 24h-8.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$797

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$199 / $124

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.2 / 100

RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.72

RSI (14, hourly)20.0

Realized vol 7d3.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%