← Explore · Market 3748597

Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?

13.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

The market prices this at 16.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability16.0%

Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 13.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (61.5%)

Change 24h+3.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$128

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$25 / $18

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.0 / 100

RSI 64 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.07

RSI (14, hourly)63.6

Realized vol 7d2.99pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 22h.

Time to resolve26d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%