← Explore · Market 3758964
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
11.0% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,876 / $2,713
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.08
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.76pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%