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← Explore · Market 3763311

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?

99.1% implied · bid 98.5¢ · ask 99.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.6%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.6%
Bid / ask / mid98.5¢ / 99.6¢ / 99.1¢
Spread1.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+2.95pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 74/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,552
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,350 / $54,415
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score74.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.80
RSI (14, hourly)79.7
Realized vol 7d5.29pt
Change 1h+0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3d 14h.

Time to resolve3d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth