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Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?

38.5% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 39.0¢

The market prices this at 43.0%, down 20.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability43.0%

Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 38.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.6%)

Change 24h-20.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$134,903

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,770 / $3,546

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)16

Liquidity score49.2 / 100

RSI 29 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.61

RSI (14, hourly)29.2

Realized vol 7d4.39pt

Change 1h-2.00pt

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%