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← Explore · Market 3763513

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?

10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, down 21.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h-21.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$82,363
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,731 / $1,009
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score46.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 10 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.53
RSI (14, hourly)10.0
Realized vol 7d2.78pt
Change 1h-3.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 0h.

Time to resolve7d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth