← Explore · Market 3763513
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 21.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h-21.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$82,363
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,731 / $1,009
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 10 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.53
RSI (14, hourly)10.0
Realized vol 7d2.78pt
Change 1h-3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 0h.
Time to resolve7d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%