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← Explore · Market 3763514

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?

25.0% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 26.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 25.0%, up 13.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+13.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$101,074
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,928 / $3,306
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score43.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 73 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.42
RSI (14, hourly)72.5
Realized vol 7d3.47pt
Change 1h+7.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 0h.

Time to resolve7d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth