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← Explore · Market 3763515

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?

8.1% implied · bid 7.9¢ · ask 8.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.8%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability8.8%
Bid / ask / mid7.9¢ / 8.3¢ / 8.1¢
Spread0.4¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$145,161
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,752 / $2,900
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score50.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.35
RSI (14, hourly)50.9
Realized vol 7d4.92pt
Change 1h+2.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth