← Explore · Market 3764664
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
13.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,367 / $492
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.02
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.22pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%