← Explore · Market 3767035
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
96.3% implied · bid 93.7¢ · ask 98.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.4%, up 5.1pt over 24h, on a 5.2¢ spread.
Implied probability97.4%
Bid / ask / mid93.7¢ / 98.9¢ / 96.3¢
Spread5.2¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h+5.15pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 28/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 78% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$26,558
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,530 / $3,363
Imbalance78% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score27.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.36
RSI (14, hourly)59.6
Realized vol 7d9.26pt
Change 1h-1.55pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%