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Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?

13.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

The market prices this at 32.0%, down 28.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.0%

Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 13.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (51.9%)

Change 24h-28.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,409

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $5

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.0 / 100

RSI 24 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.21

RSI (14, hourly)24.2

Realized vol 7d4.70pt

Change 1h-5.50pt

Resolves in 3d 22h.

Time to resolve3d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%