← Explore · Market 3772742

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$128

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$597 / $289

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.4 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.59

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.30pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 14h.

Time to resolve7d 14h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%