← Explore · Market 3772754
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$232
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$616 / $279
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.63
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.97pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 14h.
Time to resolve7d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%