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← Explore · Market 3779840

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 29?

98.6% implied · bid 97.6¢ · ask 99.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.1%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability98.1%
Bid / ask / mid97.6¢ / 99.6¢ / 98.6¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 43% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,930
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,914 / $33,615
Imbalance43% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.11
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d9.15pt
Change 1h-0.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 14h.

Time to resolve4d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth