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← Explore · Market 3779843

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 29?

98.5% implied · bid 97.2¢ · ask 99.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.0%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 2.5¢ spread.

Implied probability98.0%
Bid / ask / mid97.2¢ / 99.7¢ / 98.5¢
Spread2.5¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+0.80pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 65/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,160
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,046 / $50,576
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score65.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 58 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.18
RSI (14, hourly)57.9
Realized vol 7d8.89pt
Change 1h-0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4d 14h.

Time to resolve4d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth