← Explore · Market 3780239

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?

5.3% implied · bid 5.3¢ · ask 5.4¢

The market prices this at 5.4%, up 2.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.4%

Bid / ask / mid5.3¢ / 5.4¢ / 5.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.9%)

Change 24h+2.90pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,658

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$213 / $172

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.7 / 100

RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.59

RSI (14, hourly)61.7

Realized vol 7d1.24pt

Change 1h-1.30pt

Resolves in 1d 14h.

Time to resolve1d 14h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%