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← Explore · Market 3793766

Set 2 Winner: Tauson vs Zarazua

71.0% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 74.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 71.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 71.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (8.5%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 63% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$586 / $345
Imbalance63% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 45 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.71
RSI (14, hourly)45.0
Realized vol 7d3.49pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 14h.

Time to resolve6d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth